Super Bowl LIII analyst predictions: Patriots or Rams in Atlanta?

Will Bill Belichick and Tom Brady avoid losing back-to-back Super Bowls, earning their sixth Lombardi Trophy? Can second-year head coach Sean McVay and his Rams bring a title back to Los Angeles? Which players will seize the spotlight shining on Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta? Our analysts provide their predictions for Super Bowl LIII.

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** The Pats' offensive line will match up very well against the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' defensive front. That gives New England the opportunity to run the ball and win by shortening the game. 
**MVP:** 
[Sony Michel](https://www.nfl.com/prospects/sony-michel?id=32462018-0002-5598-42ba-9c934f655275) 
**Bold prediction:** This will be the last game for 
[Rob Gronkowski](/player/robgronkowski/497240/profile) in a 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) uniform. 

Los Angeles Rams 28, New England Patriots 27

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** The teams that traditionally have given 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) fits in the 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) possess a common trait: a strong defensive line. 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile), 
[Ndamukong Suh](/player/ndamukongsuh/496861/profile) and 
[Dante Fowler](/player/dantefowler/2553431/profile) Jr. will have similar success against him. 
**MVP:** 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) cornerback 
[Marcus Peters](/player/marcuspeters/2552488/profile) will intercept two passes in this game. 

New England Patriots 30, Los Angeles Rams 27

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** First off, the Pats will control the ball with their power running game against the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' linebackers. They will also contain Sean McVay's offense by taking away 
[Brandin Cooks](/player/brandincooks/2543498/profile) deep with 
[Stephon Gilmore](/player/stephongilmore/2533062/profile), keeping defensive ends wide to eliminate bootleg plays and being disciplined in gaps against 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile) and 
[C.J. Anderson](/player/c.j.anderson/2540269/profile). 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** No sacks for 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile). 

Los Angeles Rams 38, New England Patriots 34

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** My 
*official* game prediction will come Sunday morning, but until then ... In a back-and-forth affair, there will be a game-changing pressure on 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) that will cause a late turnover. 
**MVP:** 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile) rushes for 100 yards and two touchdowns. 

New England Patriots 27, Los Angeles Rams 24

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** It will be a hard-fought, close game, but 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) is great in the moment and comes up big once again. 
**MVP:** Sony Michel/ 
[James White](/player/jameswhite/2543773/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) have the game's leading receiver and rusher. 

Los Angeles Rams 31, New England Patriots 28

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** I nailed 
[this prediction](http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000952161/article/super-bowl-liii-predictions-analysts-split-on-rams-saints) in the preseason, so I'm sticking with my original pick. Sean McVay out-schemes Bill Belichick for his first Lombardi. 
**MVP:** 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** After throwing a combined three picks on Championship Sunday, neither 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) nor 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) throw an interception. 

Los Angeles Rams 27, New England Patriots 24

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) and interior pressure aren't friends, and the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' pass rush makes sure it stays that way. 
**MVP:** 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) throws two interceptions for the second time in a 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl). 

New England Patriots 31, Los Angeles Rams 27

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** It's utterly impossible to pick against the 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE). After seeing how their offensive line has dominated, I think it can even handle the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA). And a clean Brady is a deadly one. 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE)' defense holds the tandem of 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile) and 
[C.J. Anderson](/player/c.j.anderson/2540269/profile) under 100 yards. 

New England Patriots 34, Los Angeles Rams 31

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** After 58 minutes dominated by two strong running attacks, a creative blitz by the 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will force 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) into one huge mental mistake late on the final drive. 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Rob Gronkowski](/player/robgronkowski/497240/profile) scores two touchdowns in his final game. 

Los Angeles Rams 34, New England Patriots 30

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** Los Angeles brings its "A" game. 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile) looks like 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile), 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile) dominates and Sean McVay dazzles! 
**MVP:** 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
["Greg the Leg"](http://www.nfl.com/player/gregzuerlein/2534797/profile) launches two 50-plus-yard field goals. 

New England Patriots 33, Los Angeles Rams 27 (OT)

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** As the only NFL.com rep to pick the Pats in 
[our preseason](http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000952161/article/super-bowl-liii-predictions-analysts-split-on-rams-saints) 
*and* 
[midseason predictions](http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000983396/article/super-bowl-liii-predictions-rams-have-midseason-momentum), I'd be a fool and a coward to back down now. This one will follow the exact same script of both championship games: A dominant Pats first half, followed by a 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) resurgence in the final frame. Legatron bangs home a field goal with time expiring. New England wins the OT toss, drives down in, like, six plays to win, and we debate the OT rules for the ensuing seven months. 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile), Adonai, 
[New England Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Trey Flowers](/player/treyflowers/2552278/profile) has more sacks than 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile) and 
[Ndamukong Suh](/player/ndamukongsuh/496861/profile) combined. 

Los Angeles Rams 27, New England Patriots 24

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile) and 
[C.J. Anderson](/player/c.j.anderson/2540269/profile) run wild against the 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) and combine for 175 rushing yards. 
**MVP:** 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** A late turnover by the 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) sets up Los Angeles' game-winning drive. 

Los Angeles Rams 37, New England Patriots 33

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** It's clear in this game that youth beats wisdom. 
**MVP:** 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** Sean McVay's girlfriend, Veronika, will be trending by Monday. 

New England Patriots 34, Los Angeles Rams 24

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** The 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) peak at just the right time, riding into the 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) on a wave of confidence. The 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) won't know what him 'em. 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE)' dink-and-dunk offense will drive Sean McVay and Wade Phillips mad. Brady will complete over 70 percent of his passes, and 
[James White](/player/jameswhite/2543773/profile) will surpass his 14-catch total from 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) LI. 

Los Angeles Rams 35, New England Patriots 24

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** Motivated by a poor Championship Sunday performance, 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile) returns to early-season form and comes up BIG in the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' passing game. He proves why he was in the MVP conversation for most of the year. 
**MVP:** 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) tosses five touchdown passes. 

New England Patriots 30, Los Angeles Rams 27

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** New England will again play keep-away, winning time of possession by running away from 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile) and targeting 
[James White](/player/jameswhite/2543773/profile) plenty. The 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) come close, but fall short of dethroning the team that makes appearances on this stage an annual tradition. 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) (though it should be one of the running backs) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Todd Gurley](/player/toddgurley/2552475/profile) doesn't break 75 yards rushing, and Los Angeles' offense suffers just enough to lose by three. 

New England Patriots 28, Los Angeles Rams 14

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) and the 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) are consistently great in crucial situations, and their experience proves valuable against a young 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) squad. 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** Brady has a pair of rushing touchdowns. 

Los Angeles Rams 20, New England Patriots 17

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** The 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' pass rush will be too much for 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) to overcome. Brady has yet to be sacked in the playoffs, but the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) get to him three times in this game. 
**MVP:** 
[Jared Goff](/player/jaredgoff/2555334/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Greg Zuerlein](/player/gregzuerlein/2534797/profile) hits another game-winning field goal. 

New England Patriots 31, Los Angeles Rams 28

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) will get the ball last and author an epic drive to produce 
[Stephen Gostkowski](/player/stephengostkowski/2506922/profile)'s game-winning field goal -- just like when Brady set up 
[Adam Vinatieri](/player/adamvinatieri/2503471/profile) the last time these teams played in the 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl). 
**MVP:** 
[James White](/player/jameswhite/2543773/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Brandin Cooks](/player/brandincooks/2543498/profile) is the leading wide receiver in the game. 

New England Patriots 38, Los Angeles Rams 31

**Why the [Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) will win:** It's hard to believe New England has been playing the underdog card during the playoffs, but here we are. Ultimately, the 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) are a dynasty and have obviously been here before. The past experiences of playing in the biggest NFL game will help out tremendously against the up-and-coming 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA). 
**MVP:** 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' defense, which struggled against the run during the regular season, turned it around in the playoffs by holding down the potent ground games of the 
[Dallas Cowboys](/teams/dallascowboys/profile?team=DAL) and 
[New Orleans Saints](/teams/neworleanssaints/profile?team=NO). But rookie running back 
[Sony Michel](https://www.nfl.com/prospects/sony-michel?id=32462018-0002-5598-42ba-9c934f655275) will get his on Super Sunday, rushing for 100-plus yards and a touchdown -- while adding a touchdown through the air -- to help out the 
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE)' winning cause. 

Los Angeles Rams 29, New England Patriots 28

**Why the [Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA) will win:** This game comes down to O-line play and executing touchdown/scoring drives. No doubt 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) is the G.O.A.T., and his O-line has been playing extremely well (just five sacks allowed since their Week 11 bye), but the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' -- and specifically, 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile)'s -- ability to generate interior pressure is the most elite we've seen in recent years. Their 17 percent interior-pressure rate paces the NFL (per Next Gen Stats) and projects to be a drive-stopping problem for the Pats. 
**MVP:** 
[Aaron Donald](/player/aarondonald/2543485/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Josh Reynolds](/player/joshreynolds/2558194/profile), especially on crossing routes, keeps the 
[Rams](/teams/losangelesrams/profile?team=LA)' offense moving the sticks and scoring. 

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