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Neil Reynolds' Week 11 Picks

I had a winning mark of 8-6 in Week 10, but it was not exactly my best work. But we move on in this unpredictable world that is the NFL. I am now 98-56 on the season. With some massive games looming, here are my predictions for Week 11.

Washington Commanders (7-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (7-2)

For an indication of Dan Quinn's success, look no further than Washington being in a battle for first place in the division in mid-November. Jayden Daniels' completion percentage has dropped a little bit in recent weeks and this is another massive challenge against a red-hot Eagles team.

Neil's Pick… Philadelphia

Green Bay Packers (6-3) at Chicago Bears (4-5)

The oldest rivalry in the NFL resumes this weekend with Packers QB Jordan Love looking to tidy up his game. He leads the league with 10 interceptions. It might not take that many points to beat a Chicago team that has disappeared offensively since playing so well in London last month.

Neil's Pick… Green Bay Packers

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) at Detroit Lions (8-1)

This could mark the final go-around for Doug Pederson and it saddens me to say that. But the Jags currently hold the first pick in the 2025 NFL Draft and they keep dropping close games, finding ways to lose late. After this, the Jags are into their bye week and that spells danger for Pederson.

Neil's Pick… Detroit

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) at Miami Dolphins (3-6)

The Dolphins have enjoyed greater offensive productivity since Tua Tagovailoa returned but it was their defense that shone in Monday's win against the Rams. With the Raiders, New England and the Jets in three of the next four weeks, the Dolphins are not quite done in the AFC playoff race.

Neil's Pick… Miami

Los Angeles Rams (4-5) at New England Patriots (3-7)

I don't expect Matthew Stafford and the Rams to be held out of the end zone for a second week in a row. But never say never. As good as he has looked at times this season, Stafford has also played four games in which he has not thrown a touchdown pass. It won't be easy in New England.

Neil's Pick… LA Rams

Cleveland Browns (2-7) at New Orleans Saints (3-7)

Derek Carr's return from injury has at least made the Saints watchable. Over the past two weeks, he has thrown three touchdown passes, no interceptions and has a rating of 108.1. The Browns are impossible to predict because their quarterback – Jameis Winston – is hard to understand.

Neil's Pick… New Orleans

Indianapolis Colts (4-6) at New York Jets (3-7)

Anthony Richardson returns at quarterback after Joe Flacco was ineffective in relief over the past two weekends. Will the young signal-caller have learned more about how to be a leader in just a fortnight? Even if he hasn't, I think Richardson provides enough of a spark to beat the Jets in NY.

Neil's Pick… Indianapolis

Baltimore Ravens (7-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2)

Game of the Week, part 1. This game will take us back to the heady days when this rivalry was the fiercest in the NFL. Lamar Jackson has produced eight straight games with a QB rating of 100+, but T.J. Watt has 7 ½ sacks in his last four games against the Ravens. This will go down to the wire.

Neil's Pick… Baltimore

Minnesota Vikings (7-2) at Tennessee Titans (2-7)

This should be a relatively easy win for Minnesota, but we would have said that about last week's trip to Jacksonville and they had to escape with a victory that did not produce a single touchdown. The result is everything, but finding offensive form will also be vitally important for the Vikings.

Neil's Pick… Minnesota

Atlanta Falcons (6-4) at Denver Broncos (5-5)

The Falcons boast a pair of attacking weapons that are among the most productive in the NFL this season in quarterback Kirk Cousins and running back Bijan Robinson. But this is going to be a very tricky trip against a Denver D that ranks fourth in the NFL allowing just 17.7 points per game.

Neil's Pick… Atlanta

Seattle Seahawks (4-5) at San Francisco 49ers (5-4)

The 49ers should only find their footing even more with each week that Christian McCaffrey gets back up to full speed. San Francisco have had their way with the Seahawks, winning six in a row against their division rivals. I think we can chalk that up to seven straight by the end of Sunday.

Neil's Pick… San Francisco

Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) at Buffalo Bills (8-2)

Game of the week, part 2! Josh Allen is 3-1 against Patrick Mahomes but, way more importantly, Kansas City's quarterback is 3-0 against his Buffalo counterpart in the playoffs. Given this is in Buffalo, I expect Allen to improve his regular season record to 4-1, but what happens in January matters most. And these powerhouses likely could meet again in the AFC Championship Game.

Neil's Pick… Buffalo

Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (6-3)

The Chargers are physical, balanced and well coached. They have a star quarterback of their own in Justin Herbert, but this feels like the kind of stage upon which Cincinnati's Joe Burrow could really shine bright. It won't be easy against LA's number one scoring D (13 points per game), but I'm backing Joe Cool and Ja'Marr Chase.

Neil's Pick… Cincinnati

Houston Texans (6-4) at Dallas Cowboys (3-6)

The Cowboys have lost their last five home games, dating back to last season's playoff loss against Green Bay. And Dallas have hardly been competitive during those outings. It's that kind of form in front of his own fans that makes Mike McCarthy one of the head coaches in the most trouble.

Neil's Pick… Houston